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Global Wealth Insights

Stay ahead on key global market trends
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The Short and Long | 2026 Q3 Macro Investment Views

The Short and Long: Differentiated investment insights

15 Jul 2026

The Short and Long | CIO Weekly Bulletin

inflation

17 Sep 2026

Weekly Investment Insight

Investment Strategy

Weekly Spotlights

FOMC – Unanimously 25bp Rate Hike
Signals Hawkish Stance

17 Sep 2026


A unanimous 25bp rate hike and a median “dot” showing one more 25bp hike this year were broadly in line with Citi Analysts’ and market expectations. In Citi Analysts’ base case, the Fed holds policy rates steady in October and December. Chair Warsh largely repeated familiar hawkish language while declining to provide forward guidance or details of the Fed’s reaction function.

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closeup-network-space

China Banks: Implications of
Second Batch of Big-6 Banks’
Recapitalization

11 Sep 2026

Given that China banks are one of the few sectors with a strong negative share price correlation to the AI-tech sector, Citi Analysts believe China and EM funds will continue to accumulate China bank stocks as protection against downside risk if the AI-tech sector corrects.




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global-equities

Foreign Exchange

Investment Strategy

Weekly Spotlights

USD/JPY May Remain in a
153-157 Range to Year-End

17 Sep 2026


A BoJ rate hike at this Friday’s meeting is widely anticipated. Citi Analysts expect a total of four hikes, reaching a terminal rate of 2%. USD/JPY may trade in a 153-156 core range through year-end, with 157 viewed as major resistance.


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CAD May Have Support Near
Term, More Medium-Term
Negatives

11 Sep 2026

The 1.37-1.39 area continues to provide solid support for USD/CAD, with resistance at 1.4200-1.4250. While short positioning and improved terms of trade may support CAD in the near term, Citi Analysts see more medium-term headwinds from weaker Canadian growth and a less hawkish Bank of Canada.

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Citi Wealth CIO podcast is out!

The Short and Long Podcast is Citi Wealth's Chief Investment Office flagship podcast series. Hosted by Chief Investment Officer Kate Moore, each episode brings together professionals across markets, technology, and macroeconomics to deliver clear, timely perspectives on the forces shaping the investment landscape. Whether you are an investor, a business leader, or simply looking to better understand the markets, The Short and Long is our guide designed to help you navigate complexity with confidence and clarity.

Episode 3 : “AI, Quantum and Cybersecurity: From Breach to Resilience”

YouTube

In our third episode, Kate is joined by Fatima Boolani, Co-Head of Software Research at Citi and a leading expert in cyber software, and Anneka Gupta, Chief Product Officer at Rubrik, for a conversation on one of the most important and underappreciated risks in markets today — the accelerating threat of cyberattacks, and what AI, quantum computing, and agentic technology mean for the security of our data, our organizations, and our portfolios.

View full version of The Short and Long Podcast on YouTube, Apple or Spotify

Episode 2 : “A New Environment? Investing in an Age of Geopolitical & Macro Shock”

YouTube

In our second episode “A New Environment? Investing in an Age of Geopolitical & Macro Shock”, Kate is joined by Eric Van Nostrand, Chief Investment Officer of Lazard Asset Management and former Acting Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Economic Policy, and Conrad DeQuadros, Head of Economics at Citi Wealth’s Chief Investment Office, for a conversation on whether today's market optimism is justified and what a world reshaped by supply shocks, sticky inflation, and geopolitical disruption means for how investors should be building portfolios today.

View full version of The Short and Long Podcast on YouTube, Apple or Spotify

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